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Hi,
I am using FXblue to evaluate the strategies that are profitable and giving losses. How many trades you think I should consider per one strategy to evaluate if it makes sense to remove them or not?
I started on 1st january with AUDUSD and I have now some strategies did 2 trades 2 losses. Do you recommend me to remove them? Or shall I wait until I do more trades?
thanks
Facundo
Hello Facundo,
I would wait to see at least 5 trades. And what I normally do is not to remove strategies from the Demo account where I test the EAs.
I put in the live account the Top EAs, for example, having Profit Factor above 1.2 and min count of trades 5. but I keep trading the Demo account. Because some strategies that are losing at the beginning will turn out to be positive. And there might be potential in them.
A good idea is to keep looking at different periods – last 1 month, last 2 weeks.
Because some strategies might be in a loss for some time and in order to get over the 0 will take you a lot of time. But if you look at the last 1-2 weeks you will see it faster getting on profit.
I am not sure if I wrote it clearly 🙂
When would you get rid of a strategy entirely?
Some strategies just need a little time to perform well, but others just do terribly, what criteria would determine that a strategy just be deleted?
A PC can only handle a particular number of instances of MetaTrader, so it seems like a good idea to know when to free up space by getting rid of bad strategies?
Hi Simon,
I get rid of strategies when I see that they are doing more prolonged stagnation compared to the one they had in the backtest.
Let’s have that strategy as an example:
You can see where was the most significant stagnation. So if I see that there is a bigger one, this gives me a sure sign that the strategy was over-optimized, and I can not rely on it.
Also, I am looking at those statistics, and if I see something worse, I will delete it:
Now, it is hard to recognize it in FXBLue of Myfxbook, so I use the validator, or I upload it back in EA Studio and recalculate it with the recent data. This way, I can compare the stats.
Hi Simon,
yes, simply this way we can see if the strategy started performing worse compared to its worst period. Meaning that it was probably over-optimized during the creation.
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